“Procurement writing for people who actually buy things.”

Receipt: Auctions get 2x the audit checks. Direct contracts get 1x. Above the audit threshold, officers chose the procedure with less to check.

The audit framework designed to enforce competitive tendering systematically reduces it

A peer-reviewed causal study finds that above the audit threshold, procurement officers systematically shifted from competitive auctions to direct contracting. Auctions have twice as many auditable steps as direct contracts. Officers who know they will be audited choose the procedure that generates the fewest findings. That procedure is not an auction.

  • academic
  • methodology
  • incentives
  • governance
Receipt: CIPS skill development priorities 2025 vs 2026. Being strategic 47% to 36%. Leadership 45% to 35%. Influencing 43% to 30%. Afterthought perception 9% to 14%.

Time to Lead — except the data says a lot of people quietly stepped back

The CIPS State of Procurement and Supply 2026 report is titled 'Time to Lead'. The harder measures in the same report — board representation down, strategic skills retreating, 'afterthought' perception up — describe the opposite. This is the COVID-era bifurcation pattern, running on schedule.

  • research
  • skills
  • governance
  • public-sector
Receipt: spend re-routes from consultancy to contractor to statement of work. Target met. Spend redirected. Account intact.

Category targets don't reduce external resourcing demand. They redirect it.

The PAC found UK government can't measure its own consultancy spend. The deeper problem is that both sides of the transaction know which door is unguarded — and the buying organisation's own stakeholders are often the ones holding it open.

  • audit
  • public-sector
  • incentives
  • governance
Receipt: £764M spent. 15,268 hectares of trees planted. 23,526 hectares of peatland restored. Carbon sequestered: not measured.

England spent £764 million planting trees. It cannot tell you how much carbon that stored.

The Nature for Climate Fund commissioned five years of tree planting and peatland restoration without building outcome measurement into its design. The NAO cannot assess value for money. Defra says it expects very high value for money. Those two positions are not compatible.

  • audit
  • public-sector
  • methodology
  • governance
Receipt: $60M cut from contracts (12% of $500M annual spend). Open or competitive process: none. Effects on children and families: still not known.

Oranga Tamariki cut $60 million from contracted children's services and still cannot say what happened

The OAG found Oranga Tamariki applied procurement cost-reduction logic to $500 million in children's services without asking what those services were for or what would happen if the funding disappeared.

  • audit
  • public-sector
  • methodology
  • incentives
Receipt: 38% of CFOs are confident procurement savings reach the P&L. 62% are paying attention.

The CFO confidence gap is procurement's category error

BCG calls the CFO confidence gap a procurement credibility problem. It isn't. It's a definition problem that procurement created and then blamed finance for not understanding.

  • consulting
  • methodology
  • incentives
Typographic cover: 6%. Three firms, three methodologies, one number. Kearney, Deloitte, State of Flux.

Procurement's 6% isn't a gap. It's a business model.

Kearney, Deloitte and State of Flux independently identify the same 6% of organisations as elite. The research model that produces the number also explains why 94% can't close it.

  • consulting
  • methodology
  • incentives